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The Shale Boom is not Donald Trump’s gift to give


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Cutting red tape, inefficiency, bankruptcy – these are all good business principles. They work the wonders of earlier industries before administration. But there is little evidence that this has been attracting fat. Which refers to the efforts of the president Donald Trump to Accelerating oil and gas projects it will provide rocks, not a flood.

Oil producers have been “he did it, baby, it drilled” for a long time. In 2024, the US Oil Produces effects set at 13.2mn per day, making it the largest oil producer in the world. That’s two and a half times what the country was producing in 2008. America’s natural gas supply has doubled in that time.

Oil production line chart (MN B) Showing US producers have been drilling at full speed

Of course there is this DriveNeK streak that won’t go on forever. The industry will add an additional 270,000 containers per day in 2025 and 2026, based on the fact that many accidents are already being abused.

Trump’s characteristic policies, such as drilling in the waters off the coast of America, will open new fields. Even if they have the scientific tools, however, it takes time to develop the word and the length of the four-year president. This is not a short transfer.

Unfortunately for Trump, restricting the flow of oil is not red tape, but low prices. The production of oil from our customers is expensive. Companies need prices to be in the area between $ 60 and $ 80 a barrel if they want to cover all their costs and pay webonopher stifal.

Shale also cares a lot about the price of the material going forward, unlike traditional projects where some costs are developed, to maintain the production of Shale requires residual consumption. For example, the low price of our 2024 natural price has already made the number available.

That reduces the trumpet’s space for maneuvering, at least with oil. Gas may be more responsive, given there is strong confidence, not least in data centers, and the start of allowing data centers abroad. That can help donors justify the extra supply.

As it stands, the oil market is not respected. A Spluttering China it translates into less demand. OPC+, which wants to see prices remain high, suffers from insufficient supply. That means any increase in US oil production is likely to push prices up and thus stay short. The only thing depressing in the oil patch is the rhetoric.

Camilla.PhalaLo@ft.com



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