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How China’s Speek could benefit India


This report is from the Bulletin “India Inside” of this week’s CNBC that gives you timely and insightful news and market comments on emerging power and large companies behind its meteoric increase. How do you see? You can subscribe here.

The great story

This week, on my three-year laptop issued by CNBC, I executed a powerful artificial intelligence model known as Deepseek-R1.

The new model, developed by the Deepseek Chinese laboratory and launched last week, caused a massive fall in American technology. The highly competitive and potentially surprisingly profitable AI model led investors to question the billions of dollars currently spent the large technology companies.

While my brief incursion in Deepseek-R1 only served to satisfy my curiosity, it is likely that millions of other people around the world have done the same with more productive objectives in mind.

Depseek running on Ganesh’s laptop

Indian technology companies are likely, which for the first time will be able to offer customers a powerful model of reasoning, trained and lodged internally, without relying on large technological companies.

Deepseek from China launched its free model for commercial use and also Technological knowledge made public To build such a model from scratch. The company said it spent only $ 6 million on AI chip costs to develop the model.

Although some have Questions raised about the exact figureIt compares with the hundreds of millions, and sometimes billions of dollars, spent by US technology companies.

Development could mark the beginning of the development of the AI ​​model within India, since the previous methods to train large language models have required thousands of artificial intelligence chips with a lot of energy and expensive.

You could also mark an important turning point for Indian technology companies such as Infosyswhich have previously had to trust AI models created by technology companies based in the United States, such as Goal‘S call.

Keshav Murugesh, executive director of the Commercial Process Management Company WnsThe Depseek AI model said is a “fundamental advance” for Indian technology companies.

He suggested that the low development cost will allow new AI models to be trained in the regional languages ​​of India and allow previously non -economic use cases. The vast majority of sophisticated large language models today, such as Openi’s O1 and Claude Sonnet 3.5 of Anthrope, can only generate text in a handful of languages.

“By taking advantage of innovations behind Depseek, these companies can significantly reduce costs and accelerate their time to market,” Murrugesh told CNBC. Wnswhich appears in the NYSE, revealed in its call from the third quarter earlier this month, which will soon allow generative cases of use of AI in an IE insurance firm. UU., A Top 10 client for the company.

Industry surveys have shown that data privacy and the high cost of implementing large language models are among the reasons why companies have resisted the adoption of AI. The benefits of Deepseek-R1, if confirmed, would quickly eliminate two of the 10 main concerns and could begin to address a multitude of others.

The Indian government has also embarked on subsidizing access to AI chips, known as graphics processing units, to allow academics and new companies in the country to begin to develop AI models.

Indian IT services could also benefit from Deekseek more indirectly. Analysts expect large business clients of IT companies to redirect budgets far from the expenditure of the other expenses related to you.

“Depseek is positive for Indian IT services, in our opinion,” said UBS capital analysts led by Shaleen Kumar in a client note. “While it is still too early to completely evaluate the impact, the development of faster that implies lower costs should help free IT budgets, resulting in an increase in IT spending in other areas.”

However, not everything is good news. India -based corridor analysts, Anand Rathi, say that national companies with “great exposure” to cloud computing giants such as Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Oracle “You can face winds against the short term,” since agile companies exceed them by turning low -cost AI models of Deepseek.

Bank of America analysts also warned that a lower entry barrier for service providers increases competition in the sector, although these risks are in “very preliminary stages” at this time.

And so, in this globalized and connected world, an advance in China has the potential to benefit its Indian rival. However, Deepseek’s R1 has the potential to become a double -edged edged sword much earlier than many expect.

AT&TA large telecommunications operator from the USA. UU. With more than 150 million subscribers, reduced the number of customer service calls that receives in 30% in a single year, thanks to AI. The company has also achieved efficiency profits in software development.

“We are spending less at this time to develop a new code internally and get more,” said John Stankey, executive director of AT&T in a call with analysts. “And it is through the application of AI and technology and what we can do with the generative AI.”

Although it is expensive to implement using AI models developed by the US, it is cheaper compared to the high wages of the USA.

Given the growth concerns about unemploymentThe Indian government will expect the cheapest AI models not to end up displacing low -cost jobs.

Michael Bloom of CNBC contributed reports. In case you are asking you, Deepseek-R1 did not.

I need to know

Cut deficit or increase expense? India’s finance minister faces a Difficult choice in the elaboration of the annual budgetthat will be presented on February 1. Lim hui jie jie and Anniek Bao de CNBC are reported on the challenges of Nirmala Sitharaman as the budget is presented in the context of a deceleration of growth in the fifth largest economy in the world, weak demand, a weak demand, a a depreciation of rupee and growing global uncertainties.

Foreign investors are fleeing the Indian stock market. However, analysts say it is a “healthy correction.” India reference stock indices The ingenious 50 and Sensex looms in more than seven months of minimums, firmly in correction territory since its maximum of September. Some point a High valuations, others say the profit reserve as reasons behind the slide.

India is a “composite machine.” The interest of investors in India decreased at the end of 2024 due to a decline in Indian actions during that period. However, a portfolio manager is still optimistic in the country. The fall in the market is a purchase opportunity, he says, and name three Indian actions to buy By 2025. (Only for subscribers)

What happened in the markets?

Indian actions show some recovery signs after their prolonged fall. He Ingenious 50 The index has increased by 0.7% so far this year. However, the reference point is lower by 1.7% this year.

The 10 -year reference Indian government’s performance has fallen to 6.67% this week along with global companions.

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On CNBC TV this week, Neelkanth Mishra, chief economist of Axis Bank, said Indian rupe had been “undue” stable in the last two years due to the Bank of the Bank of the Reserve of India. Mishra suggested that the rupee has lasted more than necessary And it has resulted in a weakening of the currency to the minimum of all time against the US dollar.

Meanwhile, emerging markets serve as ‘bridges’ to trade with China It will be hit ‘quite hard’ by the president of the United States, Donald TrumpAccording to the Fergus Argyle portfolio manager of EFG New Capital. Argyle also explains why its emerging market fund is not invested in China and Vietnam. He says he prefers markets such as Mexico and India, as a form of his Chinese strategy plus one.

What is happening next week?

In addition to the Indian budget, inflation readings for the United States, Euro Zone and Tokyo are focused next week, while Big Tech reports profits. The medical care of Dr. Agarwal, an eye hospital, lists on Wednesday.

January 31: US personal consumption expenses index for December, Tokyo Consumer Price Index for January, Exxon Mobil Earnings

February 1: India Budget

February 3: Consumer Price Index of the europe zone for January, India HSBC Manufacturing PMI final for JanuaryUS ISM PMI manufacturing for January, China Caixin Manufacturing PMI for January, Summary of Opinions of the Bank of Japan

February 4: Alphabet

February 5: Dr. Agarwal’s medical care ipo, India HSBC Services PMI final for January, US ISM Services PMI for January, China Caixin Services PMI for January

February 6: Interest rate decision of the Bank of England, Amazon profits



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