How the commitment of “exercise, baby, drill” of Trump is affecting other countries

The UN Climate Summit in the United Arab Emirates in 2023 ended with a call to “the transition far from fossil fuels.” It was applauded as a historical milestone in global climatic action.

Just a year later, however, it is feared that the global commitment may be losing the impulse as the growth of the clean energy transition It is slowing down Below while burning fossil fuels continues to increase.

And now is the president of the United States Donald Trump’s “national emergency”hugging fossil fuels and the elimination of clean energy policies, which have also begun to influence some countries and energy companies.

In response to the slogan “Drill, Baby, Drill” by Trump aimed at increasing fossil fuel extraction And the United States notifying the UN from its withdrawal from the Climate Agreement of Paris, Indonesia, for example, has suggested that you can make your example.

“If the United States does not want to fulfill the international agreement, why should a country like Indonesia comply with it?” Hashim Djohadikusumo asked, special envoy for climate change and Indonesian energy, As reported by the news agency administered by the country’s government, Antara.

Indonesia has remained in the list of the 10 main carbon emitting countries for years.

“Indonesia produces three tons of carbon (per person per year), while the United States produces 13 tons,” formed forum 2025 in Yakarta on January 31.

“However, we are told to close our power plants … So where is the sense of justice here?”

Nithi Nesurai, director of Climate Action Network Southeast Asia, said the signs of his region were worrisome.

She said that the “richest country and the largest oil producer in the world” that increase their production gives other states “an easy excuse to increase their own, what they are already doing.”

In South Africa, the largest economy in Africa and an important carbon issuer, a transition project of $ 8.5 billion from the foreigner of the coal sector already moved to the rhythm of a snail, and now there are fears that it can derail more.

Wikus Kruger, director of Power Futures Lab of the University of Cape Town, said there was a “possibility” that the dismantling of the old electric power plants would “be further delayed.”

However, he said that although there were some “walk” from the transition to renewable energies, there was still a growth in the clean energy sector that was expected to continue.

Argentina withdrew his negotiators from the COP29 climatic meeting in Baku last November, days after Trump won the presidency of the United States. Since then, it has followed Trump’s example in the signage that he will withdraw from the 2015 Paris Agreement, which supports world efforts to combat climate change.

“Now we hope that our oil and gas production will increase,” said Enrique Vistle, president of the Argentine Environmental Lawyers Association.

“President Milei has suggested that he intends to withdraw from the Paris Agreement and has said that environmentalism is part of the awakening agenda.”

Meanwhile, Equinor energy giant has just announced It is in the middle of the investment in renewable energy in the next two years, while increasing oil and gas production, and another important BP is expected Similar announcement soon.

Trump has not only said “drilling, baby, drilling”, but also said: “We will export American energy worldwide.”

Potential foreign buyers are already aligning.

India and the United States have agreed to increase significantly The US oil and gas supply to the Indian market.

At the end of the United States visit of the Indian Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, on February 14, the two countries issued a joint declaration That “reaffirmed” the United States would be “a leading supplier of crude oil and liquefied oil and natural gas products to India.”

A few days after the inauguration of Trump, South Korea, the third largest liquefied natural gas importer in the world, has hinted at its intention to buy more American oil and gas aimed at reducing commercial surplus with the United States and improving energy safety , International media They have reported from Seoul.

The largest energy generator officials in Japan, Jera, have said Reuters They also want to increase the purchase of liquefied natural gas from the USA. UU. To diversify the supply, since it currently imports half of the Pacific Asia region.

“There is certainly a threat that if the United States looks for flood markets with cheap fossil fuel Oil Change International research, a research and defense organization for transition to clean energy.

Scientists have said that there cannot be a new extraction of fossil fuels and that there must be a rapid reduction in carbon emissions (about 45% by 2030 from the 2019 level) if the world limits the heating to 1.5 Celsius compared with the pre -industrial period.

“The energy supply economy is a key driver of decarbonization,” said David Brown, director of Energy Transition Practice at Wood Mackenzie, a group of global energy experts.

“The American energy resources base supports the role of natural and liquid gas production. On the contrary, import economies such as China, India and Southeast Asia have a dramatic economic incentive to decarbonize energy sources “

Global Energy Transition Investment has exceeded $ 2TN for the first time last year, but studies I have also shown that the Clean energy transition growth It has slowed down in recent years, while many important banks Continue financing fossil fuels.