Asteroid, which took place in 2032, the probability of impact hit the new summit

2024 YR4 was first held on December 27, 2024, and the eyes of astronomers were caught and marked as an asteroid that could place a place for eight years. Now the possibility of asteroid effects has yet reached the highest possible probability.

Asteroid, NASA has a chance to hit the asteroid due to the most recent (and constantly updated) center of the center of land research Sentry Tool. This turns into 3.1% of the effects of the earth – of course means 96.9% chance for the rock to lose our planet.

This number means very little both and at the same time. Asteroid means a lot because CNEOS’s probability of impact, which is likely to affect the location.

NASA constantly clears the possibility of an asteroid effect, but also flies from many potentially dangerous asteroids or phas. On January 28 2024 YR’s effects Was 1-in-83 or 1.2%. This number was scheduled and in early February the chance to hit the world of Kaya had a chance of 1-in-63 (1.58%). On February 10 They still jumped againThis time the chance of hitting 1 to 45 out of 45 or hit the earth. In response to this, NASA Webb has set some observation time with Space Telescope Learn more about asteroid.

It is important to remember the basis of pre-precedent, the probability of an asteroid blow is often rising before falling. We hope that what is happening here. Bruce Betts, General Scientist of the Planet Planet, Explained to gizmodoMore observations and modeling of the asteroid decrease in uncertainty on its projected road. If the earth remains in this corridor, the likelihood of the effect increased. Only when the asteroid road can be predicted with such accuracy, the distance from the range will be zero to zero after increasing.

As it diversified, there is a chance to hit the earth in 2024 YR4 in seven years. This should happen, the impact would be destructive on the local scale. Asteroid width is 131 feet (40 meters) and 295 feet (90 m), so it can be destroyed. Assuming the underside of this range would still cause a asteroid; NASA showed The effect will produce 8 megaton energy compared to the Tunguska explosion in 1908.

According to The international asteroid warning network, the impact of the impact on the effect of an asteroid “Eastern Pacific Ocean, North America, Atlantic Ocean, African, Arab Sea and South Asia”.

In 2024 YR4, Torino is currently in the threat of influence, says that this is “a chance to collide with localized destruction”, “the new telescopic observations will be reduced to redefine to 0 levels” Although not, not, but also is better to watch the object constantly on the location telescopes.

Asteroid is currently away from the ground and will not slide again until 2028 (Note: No chance of influence in 2028). Until April, the asteroid will probably lose a lot of faints to observe the largest telescopes, so it is itself. Astronomers collect a lot of information on potentially dangerous rock, because before this moment, they will not have a chance to learn more for several years.

Astronomers 2024 Other key factors such as the exact orbital elements, speed, speed, size, shape, rotation and crowd, its composition, surface characteristics and non-gravity forces Yarkovsky effect-Might changes the trajectory.

A few years ago, NASA’s dart mission proved that scientists could change the trajectory of the asteroid. However, there is no guarantee that such a plot can be repeated and openly to be in a position we have to find anyone. Reliable, scientists are working to determine the exact path of 2024 YR4. Once established, and we (hopefully) approve that the earth is not at risk, then scientists can discuss the next steps.