America’s economies order to collapse

Happy mountain. This week I go back to the US economy.

The thoughts of economic collapse in the US riding this week. However, it is not ‘a lot of warriors of warriors in this year. So, sticking to free lunches on Sunday Sunday, here is because of the greatest economy in the world will give in to 2025.

Argument has two parts. The basic matter, even before the inhibition of President Donald Trump, the US was weaker than many were thankful for them. I explained the reason for Column of emotion In August and in print of the first article, “Reducing the US Internet“.

Second, “Trumpets” won another view by generating the hips forces and puts the financial market injury. This is the idea of ​​today’s news.

Let’s start with customers. Reminder: High use has already been generated by credit and expenditure regarding the importance such as food, accommodation and health care. Deeper ways in debt cards hit at the end of 13 years at the end of the past year, with negligent values.

The White House Aganda will add insulting from injury by the taxpayer tax. Mexico jobs and Canada (now pause), will lift us up, which will bring us the most effective rate since 1943, according to Budget lab to yale. Provides high price prices can call up to $ 2,000 families.

This is just a tatter; Some fees are expected. Although the President has a bowl of pushing back-time periods, impact on the garment already increases.

Self-esteem has been reserved. Consumer resources and expectations of unemployment have changed. That is a strange thing. Families are trying to build up to 20 percent, postcard in the purchase price. Surprisingly, the actual use that fell in January for the first time for about two years. The best behavior is increasing.

Next, business. Committee and customary rules for sorting to detect costs and returns to retaliate will run the international sale. But unsure of power and uncertainty of planning business skills and adaptability.

The effects are already waiting to have trading crimes. The Goldman Sachs Administration identifier demonstrated a sales action, new instructions, shipped and working in production sites in February. To do the use of building money – which was divided under the law of reducing the cost and a chips action – it is also weak, and Ads of plans for plans unsolicited under the new government.

Trade saving tests are also inherited. The BCEx Research Debt Division has dropped in anti-opposition. Since old, that is scaled down slowly.

Minor Business plans continuously decrease, according to the latest NFIB test. The Turlenger tracker of the proposed work activities removed 245 percent in October.

Reminder: Before the trimp comes in, many judged American “power” market for US Savings. Government, Study Rewarding and Social Aid for New 2023 years (and half of 151,000 relief has been added in March). Moving also strengthens the growth of work from region.

Then based on an old administrative purpose. In addition to the impact of uncertainty in the secretary department, estimates the low cost of Elon MINK. In extreme level, which can reach more than 1mn.

The intended fabric on unpopular immigrants, responsible for at least 5 percent of the workers, will increase the loss of work.

After that, this system pushes the ‘stock mats.

Before Trump arrives, S & P 500 was already in a higher cost-level and concentration standards – with high market companies.

But the market was also cheaper that the President went with his aegan, such as the US market model.

Last year, critics had encouraged the powerful price of S & P 500 was not very good, as they considered a wage wage and a promise of artificial intelligence. But hope around the reward will subside. Sale plans and investments have already been darkened by uncertainty, at AI and not. Many of our companies have a lot of money in many countries, Trump’s Trump may be holes against. In other words, stock prices have a place to oe.

If the President really starts “his plans, his stock robbery patience can be highly meaningful.

Finally, financial accidents appear to be impossible (even if their possibilities are still down) and can drive out to funding financial conditions.

Matt King, Satori Indiges Proter, indicates the potential situation that may result in “Haven” is mixed with negligent problems..

Administration plans to delete department’s weakness (especially if they stop) and that government administration is very suspected. Borrowing costs are already high; Money to add addition to the fire. American spear needs are fascinating with topics such as German increase. It is very easy to think that we can be caught in a pleasant arrest of many chasi and major credit plans.

Then there are dangers of Trump plans depending on it: Crypto finances, discovering Haphazard finances and dollar cheating.

Shops don’t know to The price of uncertaintyas Trump was in the office. Quick political accidents could make them sold – power power and union market. That may have raised limited problems.

To feed what will do again. Amazing economic signs of cool economy ago, interest rates were very difficult to come before Trump.

Now, prices are in a style of holding up. The weakness chapter still moves the rough predominations. But with low expectations but can remember the latest growth of heaven, growth may be dependent and keeps the heap high. In that case, a great feeling would force more. Of course, the spotting area is the growing inflation – it is very difficult for fed, raising the accident of the error.

Upshot? Most enthroneers shave their GDP people for this quarter, driven by businesses from stocking gifts with a billing prospects. Many people expect to go to the second quarter (even for the stop trump stops will continue to strengthen stockping). However, with slow and economic danger and economic risk, it is difficult to see what can see you.

Perhaps Trump’s tax is cut and unsolved habits? First, they will still start. Secondly, they will be overwhelmed by anti-germination of the largest rows of his strategic plan. Taxing decline will strengthen interest, but computers to do anything with benefits that will be reduced by perfect and highest eager expenses. The deadly red tip can support investment, but examine many various governments of billing and abundance itself as a large largest management burden.

It is possible to go down whether it can be avoided can be avoided. But that would require his purpose to implement work to implement and spray his foreign style. How’s it like a chance?

Reroputals? Thoughts? Send me Frelunn@ft.com or to x @ Teepherpikh90.

Impression food

Here’s a reminder of why good lunch for Sunday Sunset is important. Latest calls made Stock’s squacked squaresthe The German economy and China Looks like you hit the sign.