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What are the Putin options after the Ukraine Fire Cessation Proposal present?


It was after 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday night in Moscow when the United States Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, described the Ukrainian and American proposal for a high 30 -day fire with Russia.

For Wednesday afternoon, the Kremlin seemed to be wearing his response to the proposals.

The spokeswoman of the Foreign Ministry of Russia, Maria Zakharova, refused to be attracted to details, saying that “the formation of the position of the Russian Federation () will take place within the Russian Federation.”

And Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov eluded the problem. “Let’s not move forward,” he said, adding that Moscow was “knowing” the joint statement issued in Jeddah.

There are reports that the American envoy Steve Witkoff could travel to Moscow on Thursday, and Peskov said the press would be informed. Apart from this, it was not a Kremlin comment.

President Vladimir Putin, without a doubt, is carefully thinking about whether to accept the proposal of Alto El Fuego, reject or demand amendments to it.

The idea of ​​rejecting, or amending, the proposal of Alto El Fuego seems to be gaining more traction among the commentators.

“If (Putin) accepts the suggestion of the United States, it will lead to a dangerous situation,” they told the BBC to the BBC, that the Russian army has the advantage in the front line and can lose it.

There are also concerns that Ukraine could use the fire of one month to rearm, so Russia can present some conditions, such as demanding the end of the Western Supply of Arms to kyiv.

“The condition must be that during this period, an embargo should be introduced in the supply of weapons to Ukraine … Europe should support fire in Europe, not with words, but with actions,” Markov told the Russian media.

If you accept the proposal, Markov suggests that public opinion could be a factor. Russian society is “tired of war,” he told the BBC.

While it is true that Some recent surveys Showing a growing percentage of the Russian population is in favor of carrying out peace conversations with Ukraine, it is far from clear that public opinion would have some influence on Putin’s decision.

Another possible way for Russia would be to accept the fire and then blame any rape of Ukrainian “provocations”, hoping to discredit kyiv in Trump’s eyes.

After Russia seized Crimea in 2014, numerous attempts were made to implement fire between Moscow and kyiv. They all failed.

If this attempt works, it would be unprecedented.

Far from the silence of the Kremlin, the announcement of the proposal of Alto El Fuego, the most detailed of its kind since the beginning of the Moscow War in Ukraine, was openly discussed in the Russian media.

In some cases, there was joy about what they saw when Ukraine folded to US demands, with Komsomolskaya Pravda arguing that the White House had “completely defeated” kyiv.

“They heard from Ukraine exactly the words they wanted to listen,” said Daily.

Even so, the overwhelming feeling among many Russian commentators and legislators is skepticism, particularly in the light of the United States’s decision to resume kyiv’s intelligence and weapons.

Deputy Viktor Sobolev said that a high temporary fire would only play in the hands of the Ukrainians, since it would allow them to “regroup in 30 days, replenish their ranks and recover with drones.”

There has also been an impulse to highlight the victories of the Russian army in the Kursk region, parts of which kyiv has occupied since last summer, and to show that Russia has the advantage in the battlefield.

On Wednesday morning, the images of Russian soldiers who recovered to Sudzha, the largest city in Ukraine managed to confiscate in the Kursk region, were ubiquitous on Russian television and the popular telegram channels, accompanied by praise of the “daring” troops of the Moscow troops.

“The real conditions for negotiations are now being created by our heroic types, along the front line,” said Moskovsky Komsomolets newspaper.

Regardless of the talk, the final decision, as always is the case in today’s Russia, will rest with Vladimir Putin.

He, as Trump is essential for this treatment. “We … We do not rule out the need for a telephone conversation at the highest level,” said Peskov on Wednesday morning, which means that direct contact between the two presidents is on the cards.

Some Russians can also believe that this is Trump’s favorite avenue.

“For his own admission, he makes an agreement only with the ‘boss’,” said state station Ria Novosti.

“This means that there will be no deals with ‘teams’, ‘representatives’ and ‘sent’. A possible agreement can only be between Putin and Trump.”



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